Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
| Money | VCU +122 MEM -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +5 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -3.2 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+23.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -2.5 (-7.5) | 142.0 (+23.0) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -2.6 (-7.6) | 137.6 (+27.4) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -1.9 (-6.9) | 138.4 (+26.6) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -2.9 (-7.9) | 140.8 (+24.2) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2022 | MEM 62 – 47 VCU |
| Nov 28, 2020 | VCU 70 – 59 MEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-14 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-6 | 13-2 |
| Away | 7-5 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 75.8 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#108) | 6.4 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#230) | 1.87 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#197) | 2.60 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#134) | 0.633 (#24) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 33.3% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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