Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | MRSH +200 DUQ -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +13 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | DUQ -4.2 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.7 (+0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -4.6 (-8.4) | 151.3 (+5.7) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -3.5 (-9.5) | 149.1 (+7.9) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -3.7 (-9.3) | 151.5 (+5.5) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -4.3 (-8.7) | 150.1 (+6.9) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2022 | MRSH 82 – 71 DUQ |
| Dec 5, 2021 | MRSH 72 – 71 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-7 | 13-4 |
| Away | 3-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#271) | 4.5 (#98) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#287) | 1.71 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#273) | 2.64 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#261) | 0.570 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 26.9% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 41.1 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.