Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | DUQ -150 MRSH +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +11 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | MRSH -0.3 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -1.6 (-12.6) | 149.5 (+3.5) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -2.6 (-13.6) | 149.5 (+3.5) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -2.6 (-13.6) | 150.2 (+2.8) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -3.5 (-14.5) | 151.2 (+1.8) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2023 | DUQ 85 – 72 MRSH |
| Dec 5, 2021 | MRSH 72 – 71 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 24-8 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 16-4 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-7 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 81.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#119) | 8.4 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#60) | 1.32 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#84) | 1.99 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#84) | 0.550 (#100) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 39.9% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 43.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 15.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 37.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 9.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 15.7% |
Game Analysis
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