Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +1 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -12.7 (-11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.7 (-25.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -9.4 (-8.4) | 153.8 (-10.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -9.8 (-8.8) | 157.5 (-14.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -10.1 (-9.1) | 159.6 (-16.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -9.6 (-8.6) | 159.0 (-16.0) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2023 | DUQ 85 – 72 MRSH |
| Dec 9, 2022 | MRSH 82 – 71 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#164) | -6.3 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#214) | -1.65 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#160) | -2.12 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#260) | 0.424 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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