Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | UNI -138 RICH +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +5 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -2.7 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (+3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -2.6 (+7.6) | 144.6 (+6.4) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -2.0 (+7.0) | 145.3 (+5.7) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -2.7 (+7.7) | 147.0 (+4.0) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -0.9 (+5.9) | 147.5 (+3.5) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2022 | RICH 68 – 55 UNI |
| Dec 5, 2021 | RICH 60 – 52 UNI |
| Dec 9, 2020 | RICH 78 – 68 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 15-3 |
| Home | 11-3 | 15-1 |
| Away | 6-8 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#189) | 7.7 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#304) | 0.10 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.07 (#293) | 0.09 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#279) | 0.503 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 50.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 57.2% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 10.9% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 20.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 14.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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