Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -10.0 Push |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | RICH -600 UNI +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +10 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -19.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.8 (-16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -12.5 (-2.5) | 154.5 (-8.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -16.4 (-6.4) | 154.4 (-8.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -17.6 (-7.6) | 152.2 (-6.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -17.8 (-7.8) | 154.5 (-8.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2023 | UNI 78 – 73 RICH |
| Nov 12, 2022 | RICH 68 – 55 UNI |
| Dec 5, 2021 | RICH 60 – 52 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-9 | 10-15 |
| Conference | 6-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-4 | 6-5 |
| Away | 5-3 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#55) | -5.1 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#32) | -2.55 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.72 (#36) | -3.65 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#82) | 0.321 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 44.6% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 19.0% | 17.8% |
| FT Rate | 15.4% | 11.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.5% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 34.5% |
Game Analysis
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