Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | ACU -400 NAU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAU +2 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | ACU -8.7 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (+19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -5.3 (-7.3) | 137.4 (+16.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -5.1 (-7.1) | 134.9 (+19.1) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -4.6 (-6.6) | 135.9 (+18.1) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -4.9 (-6.9) | 139.1 (+14.9) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2022 | ACU 92 – 82 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-6 | 7-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#198) | -4.1 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#223) | 0.57 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#209) | 0.37 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#203) | 0.547 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 21.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 15.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.7% | 31.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.