Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | STMN -200 MILW +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +4 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | STMN -17.2 (-13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -11.6 (-7.6) | 133.4 (+12.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -12.2 (-8.2) | 136.9 (+9.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -11.9 (-7.9) | 137.0 (+9.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -9.7 (-5.7) | 136.2 (+9.8) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2024 | MILW 69 – 65 STMN |
| Nov 23, 2022 | STMN 76 – 72 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 79.5 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#157) | -10.8 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#197) | -2.33 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#186) | -4.23 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#237) | 0.375 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 14.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.8% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 57.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 59.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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