Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -20.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
| Money | TTU -2400 OMA +1150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +29 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -12.9 (+16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -15.8 (+13.2) | 143.2 (+1.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -11.8 (+17.2) | 143.1 (+1.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -12.2 (+16.8) | 143.9 (+1.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -13.2 (+15.8) | 141.7 (+3.3) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2021 | TTU 96 – 40 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 15-2 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#85) | -1.7 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#124) | -1.51 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#114) | -1.85 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#123) | 0.429 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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