Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -30.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +56 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -22.6 (+33.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (-4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -23.4 (+32.6) | 136.6 (-0.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -19.8 (+36.2) | 142.6 (-6.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -22.5 (+33.5) | 143.2 (-7.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -25.0 (+31.0) | 142.9 (-6.9) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2023 | TTU 87 – 58 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-14 |
| Home | 18-0 | 5-9 |
| Away | 3-8 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 84.4 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#54) | -7.3 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#112) | -1.94 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#129) | -3.43 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#229) | 0.236 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 37.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 41.5 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 18.8 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 50.0% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 10.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 29.8% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 79.8% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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