Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -22.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -7000 M-OH +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +20 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -21.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -22.2 (-2.2) | 145.0 (+3.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -17.4 (+2.6) | 144.7 (+3.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -18.8 (+1.2) | 144.3 (+3.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -20.3 (-0.3) | 142.1 (+5.9) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 2-8 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#27) | -4.0 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.03 (#43) | -0.51 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.97 (#41) | -0.84 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.630 (#28) | 0.447 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 40.2% | 39.4% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 5.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 18.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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