Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | NIA +333 SBU -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +34 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | SBU -5.0 (-29.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -4.1 (-29.9) | 139.3 (+14.7) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -4.2 (-29.8) | 140.2 (+13.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -4.2 (-29.8) | 139.7 (+14.3) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -6.7 (-27.3) | 137.5 (+16.5) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2024 | SBU 71 – 52 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 5-9 | 11-4 |
| Away | 10-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 68.6 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#316) | 2.1 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#307) | 0.05 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.43 (#304) | 0.13 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.392 (#319) | 0.529 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 27.0 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 20.5% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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