Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | NEV -1000 UCD +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +12 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | NEV -22.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -17.5 (-5.5) | 142.1 (+5.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -18.6 (-6.6) | 141.1 (+6.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -20.1 (-8.1) | 141.6 (+6.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -20.5 (-8.5) | 142.9 (+5.1) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2025 | UCD 75 – 71 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-2 | 10-6 |
| Away | 8-3 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 12.1 (#25) | -4.5 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.06 (#18) | -1.24 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.86 (#12) | -1.61 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.619 (#37) | 0.391 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 2.08 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 11.2% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 36.4% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.3% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 26.0% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.7% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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