I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
MVP Arena · December 7, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread BRY -8.5 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Under
Money SIE +350 / BRY -350
Model Predictions
Spread Total SIE win
Actual BRY +16 118 Lost
Massey BRY -15.3 (-0.7)
Massey Totals 126.5 (-8.5)
Bradley-Terry 13%
Weighted B-T 2%
Efficiency Plus ML BRY -9.4 (-6.6) 133.3 (-15.3) 20%
Baseline Tuned ML BRY -8.9 (-7.1) 130.9 (-12.9) 18%
Baseline ML BRY -8.2 (-7.8) 126.7 (-8.7) 16%
Baseline Plus ML BRY -10.4 (-5.6) 130.8 (-12.8) 17%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 4, 2025 SIE 8266 BRY
Nov 9, 2024 SIE 9088 BRY

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SIE BRY
Overall 4-28 20-13
Conference 3-17 11-5
Home 2-12 11-3
Away 2-13 8-10
Neutral 0-3 1-0
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L8 L1
Avg Pts For 60.4 75.8
Avg Pts Against 74.4 75.3
Massey -21.1 (#362) -0.1 (#174)
Bradley-Terry -3.10 (#349) 0.08 (#180)
W. Bradley-Terry -4.84 (#351) 0.66 (#150)
RPI 0.279 (#362) 0.474 (#218)
Shooting & Four Factors SIE BRY
FG% 41.3% 40.1%
3PT% 25.5% 31.8%
REB / G 33.0 36.1
OREB / G 12.5 7.1
AST / TO 0.58 1.00
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.6% 46.6%
TOV% 26.1% 16.8%
ORB% 35.5% 18.5%
FT Rate 15.0% 16.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.0% 44.1%
Opp TOV% 18.3% 15.9%
DRB% 65.1% 69.8%
Opp FT Rate 16.5% 23.4%

Game Analysis

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