Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | BEL -163 LIP +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +1 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -4.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.2 (-22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -3.6 (-2.6) | 157.7 (-14.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -3.3 (-2.3) | 158.7 (-15.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -4.3 (-3.3) | 155.2 (-12.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -4.1 (-3.1) | 155.3 (-12.3) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2025 | BEL 75 – 68 LIP |
| Nov 13, 2024 | BEL 80 – 79 LIP |
| Nov 15, 2022 | LIP 77 – 75 BEL |
| Dec 3, 2021 | BEL 94 – 65 LIP |
| Dec 13, 2020 | BEL 81 – 71 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-5 |
| Home | 12-2 | 12-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#166) | 1.3 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#121) | 0.64 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#141) | 0.50 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#148) | 0.527 (#129) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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