Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +10 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | LIP -1.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (+0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -1.3 (-11.3) | 151.1 (+0.9) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -0.7 (-10.7) | 149.4 (+2.6) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -1.6 (-11.6) | 147.0 (+5.0) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -1.7 (-11.7) | 148.5 (+3.5) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2025 | BEL 75 – 68 LIP |
| Nov 13, 2024 | BEL 80 – 79 LIP |
| Dec 7, 2023 | BEL 72 – 71 LIP |
| Nov 15, 2022 | LIP 77 – 75 BEL |
| Dec 3, 2021 | BEL 94 – 65 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 26-4 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 18-2 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 10-2 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 81.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#212) | 1.1 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#156) | 0.14 (#151) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#156) | -0.00 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#124) | 0.475 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 28.2 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 4.7 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 14.9% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 31.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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