Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | LIP +130 BEL -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +2 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -13.8 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (+2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -7.5 (-5.5) | 149.2 (+2.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -9.5 (-7.5) | 148.9 (+3.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -6.5 (-4.5) | 147.6 (+4.4) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2025 | BEL 75 – 68 LIP |
| Nov 13, 2024 | BEL 80 – 79 LIP |
| Dec 7, 2023 | BEL 72 – 71 LIP |
| Dec 3, 2021 | BEL 94 – 65 LIP |
| Dec 13, 2020 | BEL 81 – 71 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-2 | 12-2 |
| Away | 7-11 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#199) | -3.8 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#242) | 0.12 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#243) | -0.16 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.250 (#280) | 0.750 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 28.0 | 26.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 3.00 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 7.4% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 16.7% | 18.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 9.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.9% | 57.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.3% | 15.8% |
Game Analysis
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