Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | BEL -1400 LIP +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +7 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -21.0 (-14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -22.2 (-15.2) | 143.4 (-0.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -12.3 (-5.3) | 144.0 (-1.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -19.1 (-12.1) | 144.4 (-1.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -21.5 (-14.5) | 145.8 (-2.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2024 | BEL 80 – 79 LIP |
| Dec 7, 2023 | BEL 72 – 71 LIP |
| Nov 15, 2022 | LIP 77 – 75 BEL |
| Dec 3, 2021 | BEL 94 – 65 LIP |
| Dec 13, 2020 | BEL 81 – 71 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-6 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-2 | 13-1 |
| Away | 11-3 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.5 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#88) | -8.6 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.62 (#69) | -1.74 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#70) | -2.70 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#176) | 0.250 (#360) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.7% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 27.0% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.6% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 63.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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