Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | LIP -300 BEL +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +1 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | LIP -16.5 (-17.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (+11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -12.6 (-13.6) | 142.7 (+16.3) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -9.3 (-10.3) | 143.4 (+15.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -9.4 (-10.4) | 143.9 (+15.1) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2025 | BEL 75 – 68 LIP |
| Dec 7, 2023 | BEL 72 – 71 LIP |
| Nov 15, 2022 | LIP 77 – 75 BEL |
| Dec 3, 2021 | BEL 94 – 65 LIP |
| Dec 13, 2020 | BEL 81 – 71 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 13-7 |
| Home | 15-3 | 11-5 |
| Away | 10-6 | 9-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#172) | -5.2 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#95) | -1.75 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#139) | -2.23 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.338 (#265) | 0.500 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 54.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 27.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 4.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 58.5% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 20.7% | 12.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 8.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 61.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 10.4% | 6.8% |
Game Analysis
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