Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | IONA +150 HOF -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +5 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -1.6 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (-35.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -0.2 (-5.2) | 148.6 (-29.6) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -1.3 (-3.7) | 147.8 (-28.8) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -0.9 (-4.1) | 150.8 (-31.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -0.2 (-5.2) | 151.1 (-32.1) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2025 | IONA 81 – 73 HOF |
| Nov 9, 2024 | HOF 90 – 76 IONA |
| Nov 12, 2022 | HOF 83 – 78 IONA |
| Nov 17, 2021 | IONA 82 – 74 HOF |
| Dec 5, 2020 | IONA 82 – 74 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 5-8 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#160) | 7.8 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#261) | 1.69 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#259) | 2.94 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#284) | 0.566 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 39.4% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 57.6% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.3% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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