Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | HOF +140 IONA -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +5 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -16.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (+17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -10.2 (-5.2) | 142.4 (+18.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -8.8 (-3.8) | 144.0 (+17.0) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2025 | IONA 81 – 73 HOF |
| Nov 9, 2024 | HOF 90 – 76 IONA |
| Dec 7, 2023 | HOF 62 – 57 IONA |
| Nov 17, 2021 | IONA 82 – 74 HOF |
| Dec 5, 2020 | IONA 82 – 74 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 17-3 |
| Home | 11-2 | 11-1 |
| Away | 11-5 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 8-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.9 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#40) | 4.7 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#9) | 0.43 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.58 (#16) | 0.66 (#75) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.5% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 41.2% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 44.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 16.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 4.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.8% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 11.1% | 7.1% |
| ORB% | 15.6% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 6.1% | 10.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 35.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 25.7% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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