Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
| Money | HOF -420 IONA +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +8 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -11.6 (-19.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (+23.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -7.6 (-15.6) | 131.8 (+24.2) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -9.8 (-17.8) | 132.6 (+23.4) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -8.0 (-16.0) | 133.1 (+22.9) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2025 | IONA 81 – 73 HOF |
| Nov 9, 2024 | HOF 90 – 76 IONA |
| Dec 7, 2023 | HOF 62 – 57 IONA |
| Nov 12, 2022 | HOF 83 – 78 IONA |
| Nov 17, 2021 | IONA 82 – 74 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-10 | 12-6 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 6-3 |
| Home | 7-3 | 4-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-3 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 66.1 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#141) | -2.7 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#154) | -0.84 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#163) | -1.30 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#148) | 0.188 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.6% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 22.2% | 45.0% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 27.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.2% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 31.3% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 13.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 61.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 77.9% | 54.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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