Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +8 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -0.3 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -1.8 (+6.2) | 146.5 (+9.5) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -2.5 (+5.5) | 148.0 (+8.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -2.0 (+6.0) | 146.6 (+9.4) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2025 | IONA 81 – 73 HOF |
| Nov 9, 2024 | HOF 90 – 76 IONA |
| Dec 7, 2023 | HOF 62 – 57 IONA |
| Nov 12, 2022 | HOF 83 – 78 IONA |
| Dec 5, 2020 | IONA 82 – 74 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-0 | 12-2 |
| Away | 7-5 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#241) | 7.8 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#87) | 1.36 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#98) | 2.27 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.938 (#9) | 0.738 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 21.9% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 40.7% | 8.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 62.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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