Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | DAV -1200 CAM +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +12 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -17.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.0 (-18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -12.0 (+0.0) | 128.9 (-16.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -11.9 (+0.1) | 134.8 (-22.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -12.8 (-0.8) | 133.7 (-21.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -11.5 (+0.5) | 128.0 (-16.0) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-7 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#113) | -8.4 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#91) | -2.53 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#91) | -3.48 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#94) | 0.377 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.6% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.