Betting Lines
| Spread | PFW -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | USI +260 PFW -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PFW +13 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | PFW -9.9 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (-22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PFW -8.4 (-4.6) | 144.1 (-17.1) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -7.8 (-5.2) | 143.4 (-16.4) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PFW -8.0 (-5.0) | 143.0 (-16.0) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -8.4 (-4.6) | 142.6 (-15.6) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2024 | PFW 93 – 74 USI |
| Dec 21, 2022 | PFW 83 – 59 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USI | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-9 |
| Home | 5-10 | 11-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 10-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 78.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#311) | 7.3 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.35 (#359) | 2.35 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.74 (#360) | 2.98 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.338 (#356) | 0.587 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USI | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 42.0% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 28.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 20.2% |
| FT Rate | 13.9% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 23.5% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.3% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.