Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -20.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | TA&M -2400 DEP +1150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +25 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -23.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -20.3 (+4.7) | 146.1 (+6.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -16.9 (+8.1) | 146.8 (+6.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -18.7 (+6.3) | 148.1 (+4.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -20.1 (+4.9) | 147.2 (+5.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2022 | TA&M 82 – 66 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 3-29 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 0-20 |
| Home | 10-5 | 3-15 |
| Away | 6-6 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L20 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 81.8 |
| Massey | 13.3 (#19) | -4.3 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.62 (#24) | -1.87 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.61 (#27) | -2.17 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.674 (#6) | 0.469 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 43.2 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 18.0 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 45.9% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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