Betting Lines
| Spread | CMU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | CMU -138 VAL +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +4 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | CMU -4.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CMU -3.5 (+0.5) | 139.4 (-1.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CMU -3.8 (+0.2) | 138.5 (-0.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CMU -3.6 (+0.4) | 138.6 (-0.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CMU -2.5 (+1.5) | 139.6 (-1.6) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | VAL 93 – 77 CMU |
| Dec 12, 2020 | CMU 84 – 79 VAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 3-17 |
| Home | 10-3 | 6-11 |
| Away | 7-9 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#317) | -7.7 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#278) | -1.01 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.19 (#297) | -2.06 (#291) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#233) | 0.434 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 43.1% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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