Betting Lines
| Spread | CMU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | VAL -125 CMU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAL +16 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | CMU -3.8 (+19.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (+21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAL -0.4 (+15.6) | 143.0 (+27.0) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CMU -2.1 (+18.1) | 140.9 (+29.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAL -0.1 (+15.9) | 141.7 (+28.3) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CMU -0.1 (+16.1) | 143.1 (+26.9) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2023 | CMU 71 – 67 VAL |
| Dec 12, 2020 | CMU 84 – 79 VAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAL | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-7 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-10 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#255) | 3.3 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#275) | 0.08 (#170) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#277) | 0.86 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#272) | 0.544 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAL | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 32.5% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.