Betting Lines
| Spread | PEPP -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
| Money | PEPP -205 CSUF +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +5 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | PEPP -11.5 (-16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (-25.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PEPP -6.8 (-11.8) | 139.3 (-24.3) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PEPP -5.8 (-10.8) | 136.4 (-21.4) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PEPP -6.6 (-11.6) | 139.4 (-24.4) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PEPP -6.8 (-11.8) | 139.8 (-24.8) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2025 | CSUF 83 – 69 PEPP |
| Nov 27, 2024 | CSUF 72 – 63 PEPP |
| Nov 12, 2022 | CSUF 74 – 71 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 7-13 |
| Home | 9-8 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#179) | -6.0 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#301) | 0.44 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.30 (#299) | 0.28 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#307) | 0.541 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 26.7% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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