Betting Lines
| Spread | PEPP -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | PEPP -250 CSUF +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +9 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | PEPP -9.4 (-18.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PEPP -7.2 (-16.2) | 135.0 (-0.0) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PEPP -5.9 (-14.9) | 132.7 (+2.3) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PEPP -5.9 (-14.9) | 137.3 (-2.3) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PEPP -6.5 (-15.5) | 138.2 (-3.2) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2025 | CSUF 83 – 69 PEPP |
| Dec 7, 2023 | CSUF 60 – 55 PEPP |
| Nov 12, 2022 | CSUF 74 – 71 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-22 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 1-19 |
| Home | 7-9 | 4-11 |
| Away | 2-11 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 62.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#249) | -7.5 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#216) | -0.67 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#213) | -0.95 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#163) | 0.481 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 37.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 41.7% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 23.2% |
| ORB% | 21.5% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 30.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.9% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 62.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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