Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | SIUE -225 GB +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +9 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -3.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.5 (+26.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -4.8 (+4.2) | 127.9 (+19.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -2.9 (+6.1) | 129.8 (+17.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -3.4 (+5.6) | 130.0 (+17.0) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -5.5 (+3.5) | 128.7 (+18.3) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2024 | GB 82 – 57 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-7 |
| Home | 12-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 2-13 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#244) | -2.0 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#156) | -0.29 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#180) | -0.83 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#223) | 0.458 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 11.0% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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