Betting Lines
| Spread | GB -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | GB -175 SIUE +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GB +25 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | GB -0.2 (+24.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (-14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GB -1.2 (+23.8) | 149.2 (-10.2) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GB -1.7 (+23.3) | 147.9 (-8.9) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GB -1.6 (+23.4) | 146.4 (-7.4) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -0.6 (+25.6) | 148.3 (-9.3) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2023 | SIUE 78 – 69 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 13-7 |
| Home | 3-11 | 12-3 |
| Away | 1-17 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#220) | 4.2 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#193) | 1.51 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#199) | 2.01 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#165) | 0.561 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 19.8% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 11.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 60.5% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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