You scumbag, you maggot, you cheap lousy faggot "Fairytale of New York" - The Pogues
Kaplan Arena · December 7, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread ODU -3.5 Home covered
O/U 142.5 Over
Money W&M +160 / ODU -150
Model Predictions
Spread Total W&M win
Actual W&M +5 163 Won
Massey W&M -3.2 (+1.8) — —
Massey Totals — 157.1 (+5.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 28% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 19% ✗
Baseline Plus ML W&M -2.4 (+2.6) 151.3 (+11.7) 60% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ W&M -1.4 (+3.6) 150.0 (+13.0) 60% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML W&M -1.8 (+3.2) 149.1 (+13.9) 55% ✓
Baseline ML W&M -2.2 (+2.8) 151.0 (+12.0) 58% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 30, 2025 W&M 88 – 75 ODU
Dec 3, 2024 ODU 88 – 83 W&M
Dec 8, 2022 ODU 72 – 62 W&M
Dec 8, 2021 ODU 74 – 59 W&M
Nov 29, 2020 ODU 86 – 78 W&M

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings W&M ODU
Overall 10-23 7-25
Conference 4-14 3-15
Home 7-7 5-10
Away 2-13 1-12
Neutral 1-3 1-3
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 68.5 70.9
Avg Pts Against 74.2 77.6
Massey -6.0 (#284) -3.5 (#237)
Bradley-Terry -2.21 (#321) 0.03 (#190)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.06 (#318) -0.04 (#193)
RPI 0.387 (#326) 0.508 (#164)
Shooting & Four Factors W&M ODU
FG% 43.9% 42.8%
3PT% 33.3% 34.8%
REB / G 33.8 34.0
OREB / G 9.2 9.8
AST / TO 1.09 0.98
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.8% 48.1%
TOV% 16.4% 16.1%
ORB% 26.1% 26.7%
FT Rate 26.5% 14.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.0% 50.0%
Opp TOV% 14.1% 17.7%
DRB% 76.3% 69.4%
Opp FT Rate 29.3% 37.3%

Game Analysis

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