Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | ODU +270 W&M -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +5 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | W&M -12.7 (+17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.6 (+9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -7.0 (+12.0) | 151.4 (+19.6) | 26% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | W&M -7.8 (+12.8) | 156.0 (+15.0) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | W&M -8.0 (+13.0) | 152.7 (+18.3) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -7.7 (+12.7) | 152.6 (+18.4) | 25% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2025 | W&M 88 – 75 ODU |
| Dec 7, 2023 | W&M 84 – 79 ODU |
| Dec 8, 2022 | ODU 72 – 62 W&M |
| Dec 8, 2021 | ODU 74 – 59 W&M |
| Nov 29, 2020 | ODU 86 – 78 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-9 | 12-2 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -17.9 (#359) | 0.0 (#163) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.47 (#355) | -0.54 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.91 (#354) | -0.14 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.350 (#354) | 0.457 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 26.2% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.5% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 14.3% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 64.2% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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