Betting Lines
| Spread | ODU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +15 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | ODU -2.6 (-12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.2 (+12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -4.0 (-11.0) | 126.4 (+6.6) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -5.2 (-9.8) | 128.4 (+4.6) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -3.4 (-11.6) | 128.7 (+4.3) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -4.1 (-10.9) | 129.7 (+3.3) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2025 | W&M 88 – 75 ODU |
| Dec 3, 2024 | ODU 88 – 83 W&M |
| Dec 7, 2023 | W&M 84 – 79 ODU |
| Dec 8, 2022 | ODU 72 – 62 W&M |
| Nov 29, 2020 | ODU 86 – 78 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Massey | -11.5 (#336) | -4.0 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.77 (#351) | -0.32 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.46 (#352) | -0.53 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.354 (#339) | 0.483 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.2% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 43.1% |
| TOV% | 24.8% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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