Betting Lines
| Spread | ODU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | ODU -450 W&M +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +10 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | ODU -9.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.5 (+1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -7.2 (+2.8) | 133.3 (+0.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -9.6 (+0.4) | 132.0 (+2.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -6.5 (+3.5) | 135.8 (-1.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -7.3 (+2.7) | 135.9 (-1.9) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2025 | W&M 88 – 75 ODU |
| Dec 3, 2024 | ODU 88 – 83 W&M |
| Dec 7, 2023 | W&M 84 – 79 ODU |
| Dec 8, 2021 | ODU 74 – 59 W&M |
| Nov 29, 2020 | ODU 86 – 78 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#167) | -3.0 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#155) | -0.47 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#148) | -0.89 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#121) | 0.509 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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