Betting Lines
| Spread | DETM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | DETM -110 BALL +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BALL +3 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | DETM -0.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.8 (+4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BALL -1.3 (-1.7) | 129.4 (+3.6) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BALL -1.2 (-1.8) | 132.8 (+0.2) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BALL -1.4 (-1.6) | 131.6 (+1.4) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BALL -1.9 (-1.1) | 128.4 (+4.6) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2024 | DETM 70 – 59 BALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1-31 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 7-11 |
| Home | 1-11 | 9-7 |
| Away | 0-20 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.2 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -10.5 (#331) | -5.2 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.89 (#343) | 0.23 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.98 (#340) | -0.01 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#292) | 0.488 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 14.5% |
Game Analysis
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