Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | YALE -3300 FAIR +1900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAIR +4 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -16.2 (-20.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -11.4 (-15.4) | 148.9 (-2.9) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -11.9 (-15.9) | 147.1 (-1.1) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -11.7 (-15.7) | 147.3 (-1.3) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -14.0 (-18.0) | 149.6 (-3.6) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2024 | YALE 91 – 66 FAIR |
| Dec 13, 2022 | YALE 77 – 64 FAIR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 9-6 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#119) | -7.2 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#103) | -2.54 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#110) | -3.92 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#128) | 0.380 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 13.3% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 61.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.