Betting Lines
| Spread | NCSU -26.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCSU +32 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | NCSU -24.8 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCSU -20.7 (+11.3) | 149.3 (+4.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -18.6 (+13.4) | 148.0 (+6.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -19.9 (+12.1) | 148.8 (+5.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -20.6 (+11.4) | 151.0 (+3.0) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCSU | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-15 | 9-20 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 4-10 |
| Home | 12-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 10-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 62.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 73.1 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#71) | -12.5 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.47 (#28) | -1.37 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.72 (#26) | -1.81 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.621 (#34) | 0.457 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCSU | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 36.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 42.0% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 64.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.