Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | TOW +140 MASS -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +10 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -6.5 (+16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (+19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -5.6 (+15.6) | 132.1 (+19.9) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -4.0 (+14.0) | 134.4 (+17.6) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -5.0 (+15.0) | 135.6 (+16.4) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -5.7 (+15.7) | 132.1 (+19.9) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2022 | TOW 67 – 55 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOW | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 12-2 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-6 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.2 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#268) | 7.0 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#297) | 0.61 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#290) | 1.06 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#287) | 0.557 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOW | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.0% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 41.6 |
| OREB / G | 15.5 | 15.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 1.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.3% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 42.0% | 37.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 43.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 33.7% |
Game Analysis
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