Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | MASS -150 TOW +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +12 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | MASS -22.4 (-34.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (-22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -15.5 (-27.5) | 145.5 (-23.5) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -16.5 (-28.5) | 144.5 (-22.5) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2023 | TOW 81 – 71 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-6 | 10-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#67) | -3.4 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#35) | 0.36 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#58) | 0.43 (#127) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.5% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 47.4% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 48.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.85 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.9% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 44.4% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 12.7% | 34.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 78.0% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 6.1% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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