Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | WSU -1100 UCR +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +37 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -19.2 (+17.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -14.5 (+22.5) | 135.6 (-0.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -16.5 (+20.5) | 139.1 (-4.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -18.1 (+18.9) | 138.9 (-3.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -18.4 (+18.6) | 138.1 (-3.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 15-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-4 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#34) | -2.6 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.01 (#44) | -0.18 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.99 (#39) | -0.05 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.631 (#26) | 0.477 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 12.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.3% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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