Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -27.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +36 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -31.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.7 (-20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -23.8 (+12.2) | 128.0 (-14.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -24.3 (+11.7) | 132.7 (-18.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -28.2 (+7.8) | 131.5 (-17.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -28.8 (+7.2) | 132.8 (-18.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2021 | HOU 79 – 46 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-5 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-13 |
| Home | 17-0 | 6-10 |
| Away | 7-3 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 57.6 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 20.3 (#3) | -5.7 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.83 (#6) | -0.73 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.51 (#6) | -0.86 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.657 (#10) | 0.472 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 41.1 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 13.1% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 39.1% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.4% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.0% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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