Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
| Money | HOU -900 RICE +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +33 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -10.1 (+22.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-23.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -6.7 (+26.3) | 148.7 (-23.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -7.8 (+25.2) | 150.9 (-25.9) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2023 | HOU 75 – 39 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 9-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#195) | 1.8 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#65) | 0.34 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#108) | 0.49 (#75) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 41.7% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 46.0 | 43.0 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 58.2% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 39.5% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 42.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 64.4% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 6.8% | 12.3% |
Game Analysis
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