I know you're dissatisfied with your position and your place. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Hope Coliseum · December 7, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread PITT -3.5 Away covered
O/U 139.0 Over
Money WVU +140 / PITT -165
Model Predictions
Spread Total WVU win
Actual PITT +17 143 Lost
Massey PITT -5.2 (-11.8)
Massey Totals 137.4 (+5.6)
Bradley-Terry 59%
Weighted B-T 56%
Efficiency Plus ML PITT -4.5 (-12.5) 140.4 (+2.6) 33%
Baseline Tuned ML PITT -3.3 (-13.7) 136.3 (+6.7) 37%
Baseline ML PITT -4.0 (-13.0) 135.7 (+7.3) 34%
Baseline Plus ML PITT -4.4 (-12.6) 136.0 (+7.0) 31%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 13, 2025 WVU 7149 PITT
Nov 16, 2024 PITT 8662 WVU
Nov 12, 2022 WVU 8156 PITT
Nov 13, 2021 WVU 7459 PITT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WVU PITT
Overall 9-23 22-11
Conference 4-14 12-8
Home 9-9 13-5
Away 0-9 7-4
Neutral 0-5 2-2
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L6 L1
Avg Pts For 69.8 75.6
Avg Pts Against 76.8 67.6
Massey -1.1 (#197) 9.9 (#42)
Bradley-Terry -0.87 (#254) 0.07 (#182)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.87 (#239) 0.44 (#162)
RPI 0.468 (#230) 0.528 (#126)
Shooting & Four Factors WVU PITT
FG% 38.3% 44.2%
3PT% 30.4% 33.6%
REB / G 39.4 44.6
OREB / G 12.0 14.5
AST / TO 0.92 1.62
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 43.7% 52.0%
TOV% 18.7% 13.8%
ORB% 33.1% 37.1%
FT Rate 31.1% 28.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.5% 44.8%
Opp TOV% 13.2% 15.4%
DRB% 72.7% 78.8%
Opp FT Rate 12.9% 20.9%

Game Analysis

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