We are not monsters, we're moral people / And yet we have the strength to do this. "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Petersen Events Center · November 16, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread PITT -7.5 Home covered
O/U 148.5 Under
Money PITT -300 / WVU +250
Model Predictions
Spread Total PITT win
Actual PITT +24 148 Won
Massey PITT -14.9 (+9.1)
Massey Totals 142.7 (+5.3)
Bradley-Terry 92%
Weighted B-T 97%
Efficiency Plus ML PITT -13.6 (+10.4) 148.3 (-0.3) 85%
Baseline Tuned ML PITT -11.5 (+12.5) 143.4 (+4.6) 83%
Baseline ML PITT -12.6 (+11.4) 143.5 (+4.5) 83%
Baseline Plus ML PITT -15.3 (+8.7) 147.2 (+0.8) 83%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 13, 2025 WVU 7149 PITT
Dec 7, 2023 PITT 8063 WVU
Nov 12, 2022 WVU 8156 PITT
Nov 13, 2021 WVU 7459 PITT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings PITT WVU
Overall 17-15 19-13
Conference 8-12 10-10
Home 13-4 13-4
Away 3-9 4-7
Neutral 1-2 2-2
Last 5 3-0 2-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.9 68.2
Avg Pts Against 70.8 64.8
Massey 12.5 (#18) 6.0 (#72)
Bradley-Terry 1.61 (#45) 0.88 (#109)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.53 (#39) 1.22 (#111)
RPI 0.806 (#12) 0.660 (#62)
Shooting & Four Factors PITT WVU
FG% 51.1% 46.2%
3PT% 34.7% 38.6%
REB / G 39.7 36.5
OREB / G 10.0 9.0
AST / TO 1.73 1.12
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 57.9% 55.6%
TOV% 12.2% 17.4%
ORB% 29.4% 27.7%
FT Rate 26.6% 27.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 43.2% 41.4%
Opp TOV% 20.6% 20.1%
DRB% 73.6% 66.3%
Opp FT Rate 20.5% 17.2%

Game Analysis

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