Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | OHIO -400 YSU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +6 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | OHIO -6.9 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -4.2 (-10.2) | 151.6 (-1.6) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -5.8 (-11.8) | 147.0 (+3.0) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -5.8 (-11.8) | 149.2 (+0.8) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -5.7 (-11.7) | 153.6 (-3.6) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2022 | OHIO 81 – 79 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 78.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#124) | 1.7 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#123) | 0.61 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#124) | 0.84 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#157) | 0.521 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 13.1% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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