Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | YSU -225 OHIO +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +2 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | YSU -12.4 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (+6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -6.8 (-8.8) | 149.9 (+10.1) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -11.8 (-13.8) | 150.8 (+9.2) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -11.9 (-13.9) | 151.1 (+8.9) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -11.7 (-13.7) | 151.1 (+8.9) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2023 | YSU 78 – 72 OHIO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-1 |
| Away | 9-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 77.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#71) | -0.5 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#118) | -0.37 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#116) | -0.19 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#113) | 0.442 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 36.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 14.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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