Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | NDSU -138 PORT +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +11 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | NDSU -8.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -4.4 (+6.6) | 147.1 (-2.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -5.9 (+5.1) | 149.7 (-4.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -6.3 (+4.7) | 150.0 (-5.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -6.2 (+4.8) | 148.2 (-3.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2022 | NDSU 67 – 62 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 5-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-11 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#200) | -4.7 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#182) | -0.50 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#219) | -0.58 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#147) | 0.498 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 39.4% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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