Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | PORT -1200 NDSU +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +5 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | PORT -19.7 (-24.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (-26.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PORT -12.0 (-17.0) | 150.2 (-21.2) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -15.9 (-20.9) | 150.6 (-21.6) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -17.3 (-22.3) | 151.1 (-22.1) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -17.6 (-22.6) | 152.7 (-23.7) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2023 | NDSU 78 – 67 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-10 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#74) | -8.1 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#138) | -3.67 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#120) | -4.96 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#160) | 0.421 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.3% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.6% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 12.3% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 78.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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